Thursday, July 7, 2022
  • Login
Upgrade
The Southern African Times
  • Home
  • Southern Africa
  • Global
  • Business
    • African Start ups
    • African Continental Free Trade Area
  • Tech
  • Opinion
  • Sports
  • Lifestyle
    • Health
    • Culture
    • Food and Drink
    • Entertainment
  • SAT Jobs
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • Southern Africa
  • Global
  • Business
    • African Start ups
    • African Continental Free Trade Area
  • Tech
  • Opinion
  • Sports
  • Lifestyle
    • Health
    • Culture
    • Food and Drink
    • Entertainment
  • SAT Jobs
No Result
View All Result
The Southern African Times
No Result
View All Result
Home Finance

Nigeria’s economy slips into “worst” recession in decades, with recovery forecast

by SAT Reporter
November 23, 2020
in Finance, Just In, Nigeria
0
Nigeria’s economy slips into “worst” recession in decades, with recovery forecast
0
VIEWS

ABUJA, (The Southern African Times) – There is hope for Nigeria to recover from its current economic recession which is widely seen as the worst recorded by the West African nation in almost four decades, said local experts.

Official data released on Saturday showed that Nigeria’s economy slipped into recession for the second time in four years as oil prices plunged in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The country’s gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 3.62 percent year-on-year in real terms in the third quarter of 2020, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported, attributing the contraction to slow oil production and the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Cumulative GDP for the first 9 months of 2020, therefore, stood at -2.48 percent,” the NBS said.

The economy shrank by 6.1 percent in Q2, indicating that two consecutive quarters of negative growth have been recorded in 2020.

Experts, however, think the country have good prospects to recover from the recession.

The current slowdown is an indication that “the worst is over” and the economy would resume growth in Q1 or Q2 of 2021, barring any new disruptions, said Muda Yusuf, director-general of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

“From an economic perspective, 2020 has been a very bad year … the worst in recent history,” the expert said, noting that the recession was not shocking, as the country had been faced with the double jeopardy of spiraling inflation and a stumbling economy.

Nigeria’s inflation rate rose to 14.23 percent in October, the highest in 10 months, Yusuf noted. “This condition in economic parlance is characterized as stagflation.”

In 2016, the biggest oil producer in Africa fell into recession, the first time in over two decades. Since emerging in 2017, it has been seeking ways to fully recover from the slowdown.

To quicken the recovery of the economy, the expert said, there is a need to restore normalcy to the foreign exchange market, show greater commitment to the fixing of the structural issues to reduce production and operating costs for investors.

Uche Uwaleke, an economic expert, said he sees “a quick V-shaped recovery as the effect of COVID-19 recedes and the impact of the interventions by the government and the Central Bank of Nigeria begin to manifest.”

In Uwaleke’s opinion, the Q3 GDP figures have confirmed the fact that the Q2 2020 “represents the worst experience for Nigeria.”

There is a strong probability that Nigeria’s economy will recover gradually in Q1 of 2021, said Ken Ife, a visiting professor at the Nigerian Defence Academy.

“The unusual type of recession we dropped into, stagflation, is one where, rather than the economy experiencing low inflation, low-interest rates, with expansionary policies, we are just seeing the opposite in galloping inflation, high-interest rates, and fiscal and monetary policy challenges despite quantitative domestic finance interventions,” Ife said.

With a 3.62-percent contraction, “Nigeria might jump out of recession in the Q4 of 2020,” the expert said, noting the recession is an aftermath of both “the COVID-19 lockdown and the ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.”

The national statistics office classified the Nigerian economy into the oil and non-oil sectors.

For the oil sector, it said that the average daily oil production recorded in the third quarter of 2020 stood at 1.67 million barrels per day, lower than the average production recorded in the same quarter of 2019 and the production volume recorded in the second quarter of 2020.

In Q3 2020, the oil sector witnessed a sharp contraction of 20.38 percent relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2019, contributing 8.73 percent to total real GDP, down from 9.77 percent and 8.93 percent respectively recorded in the corresponding period of 2019 and the preceding quarter in 2020, said NBS.

“Whilst the oil GDP growth rate went deeper into the red at -13.89 percent and with a reduced contribution to GDP, the non-oil sector outperformed by returning a marginal decline in the non-oil GDP growth rate of -2.51 percent,” Ife noted, adding the non-oil sector performance “was boosted by the positive growth of 18 sectors compared to 13 sectors in Q2.” 

Previous Post

Wanted: Companies who can build and run spas in the Kruger Park

Next Post

Mozambique LNG project on track for 2024 output despite coronavirus -Total exec

SAT Reporter

Related Posts

UK-funded low carbon technology programme calling for proposals in South Africa

UK-funded low carbon technology programme calling for proposals in South Africa

by SAT Reporter
July 6, 2022
JPMorgan warns oil prices could surge 240%
Business

JPMorgan warns oil prices could surge 240%

by SAT Reporter
July 4, 2022
15 African countries with the highest defense budgets in 2022
Just In

15 African countries with the highest defense budgets in 2022

by SAT Reporter
July 2, 2022
Key to Unlocking Major Investment in Africa – Better Data

Key to Unlocking Major Investment in Africa – Better Data

by SAT Reporter
July 2, 2022
The impact of digital credit in low-income countries
Finance

The impact of digital credit in low-income countries

by SAT Reporter
July 1, 2022
Next Post
Mozambique LNG project on track for 2024 output despite coronavirus -Total exec

Mozambique LNG project on track for 2024 output despite coronavirus -Total exec

Premium Content

ZA(R)MBIAN HIP HOP IS SAFE!

ZA(R)MBIAN HIP HOP IS SAFE!

November 25, 2020
Zimbabwe gets $7 million World Bank grant to fight coronavirus

Zimbabwe gets $7 million World Bank grant to fight coronavirus

May 6, 2020
U.N. condemns Zimbabwe child marriages as girl dies after giving birth

U.N. condemns Zimbabwe child marriages as girl dies after giving birth

August 8, 2021

Browse by Category

  • African Continental Free Trade Area
  • African Start ups
  • Algeria
  • Analysis
  • Angola
  • Asia
  • BOTSWANA
  • Botswana
  • Burkina Faso
  • Burundi
  • Business
  • Business
  • Cameroon
  • Central Africa
  • China
  • Climate Change
  • Climate Changev
  • Congo Republic
  • COVID 19
  • Culture
  • Democratic Republic of Congo
  • Eastern Africa
  • Egypt
  • Entertainment
  • Environment
  • Ethiopia
  • Europe
  • Fashion
  • Finance
  • Food
  • Food and Drink
  • Foods
  • Ghana
  • Global
  • Guinea
  • Health
  • Immigration
  • in Southern Africa
  • International news
  • Just In
  • Kenya
  • Lesotho
  • Libya
  • Life Style
  • Lifestyle
  • Malawi
  • Malawi
  • Mali
  • Markets
  • Middle East
  • Mozambique
  • Namibia
  • Nigeria
  • North Africa
  • Opinion
  • Politics
  • Rwanda
  • Senegal
  • Seychelles
  • South Africa
  • South Sudan
  • Sports
  • Startup Africa
  • STOCK EXCHANGE
  • Tanzania
  • Tech
  • Togo
  • Travel
  • Travel
  • Tunisia
  • Uganda
  • Uncategorized
  • West Africa
  • World
  • World
  • ZAMBIA
  • Zambia
  • ZIMBABWE
  • Zimbabwe

Browse by Tags

africa African business news Africa New Africa News african footballer African investments African manufacturing industry african markets African news African start-up banking Business China Classic Content currency Explore Bali Finance football Life Style Markets Market Stories Namibia news Nigeria oil and gas Oilandgas Opinion Pandemic Politics Premium reserve bank of Zambia Russia South Africa Southern African News sports Stay Home Travel United Stated Vaccine Work From Home Wuhan Zambia Zimbabwe Zimbabwe Harare Manufacturing Africa Employment creationn

WHO WE ARE

The Southern African Times is a regional bloc digital newspaper that covers Southern African and the world news. The paper also gives a nuanced analysis on news and covers a wide range of reporting which include sports, entertainment, foreign affairs, arts and culture.

Facebook Twitter Youtube Instagram Rss

Copyright © 2022 The Southern African Times | Powered by The Southern African Times

Privacy Policy

Terms and Conditions

  • Home
  • Southern Africa
  • Global
  • Business
    • African Start ups
    • African Continental Free Trade Area
  • Tech
  • Opinion
  • Sports
  • Lifestyle
    • Health
    • Culture
    • Food and Drink
    • Entertainment
  • SAT Jobs

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In
Are you sure want to unlock this post?
Unlock left : 0
Are you sure want to cancel subscription?